Fortuna Köln vs BV 08 Lüttringhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1984 |
SVS
4 - 1
KÖL
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
KÖL
1 - 1
SCC
79%
13%
7%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
ROT
2 - 1
KÖL
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
DAR
1 - 5
KÖL
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
KÖL
2 - 0
AAA
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
BV 08 Lüttringhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1984 |
BVL
1 - 3
AAA
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
WAT
2 - 1
BVL
71%
18%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
BVL
1 - 4
KSC
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
SCF
3 - 3
BVL
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1984 |
BVL
1 - 2
MSV
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |