Fortuna Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
FRE
3 - 2
KÖL
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
KÖL
2 - 2
USO
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
OSN
2 - 2
KÖL
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1982 |
KÖL
2 - 1
MUN
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1982 |
OFC
3 - 1
KÖL
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1982 |
AAA
1 - 1
HER
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
SGF
0 - 0
AAA
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
AAA
1 - 1
WWO
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1982 |
HAN
2 - 1
AAA
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1982 |
AAA
4 - 0
BAY
64%
20%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |