Fortuna Köln vs 1860 München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1982 |
OFC
3 - 1
KÖL
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
KÖL
2 - 0
WAT
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
KFC
1 - 1
KÖL
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
KÖL
1 - 1
SVS
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
ROT
4 - 1
KÖL
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1982 |
MUN
1 - 0
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
SGF
3 - 1
MUN
34%
26%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
MUN
7 - 0
WWO
71%
18%
10%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
HAN
5 - 2
MUN
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1982 |
MUN
1 - 2
BAY
66%
20%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |