Fortuna Köln U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 3
BOC
11%
18%
72%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ESS
5 - 0
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 4
SCH
7%
13%
80%
|
13 | 47 | 34 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
ALA
1 - 1
FOR
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MON
2 - 1
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 4
SCH
9%
15%
76%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BOR
2 - 2
ARM
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 2
KOL
29%
23%
49%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ARM
3 - 2
DUI
52%
22%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 0
ARM
34%
24%
42%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |