Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
HEI
3 - 2
F95
34%
24%
42%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
F95
3 - 2
HAN
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SSV
1 - 1
F95
24%
23%
54%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
F95
0 - 2
HOL
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
WUR
2 - 1
F95
13%
19%
68%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FCN
0 - 0
EBT
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
KSC
0 - 1
FCN
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
FCN
1 - 2
STP
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
DAR
1 - 2
FCN
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SVS
2 - 0
FCN
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |