Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
FCN
2 - 3
F95
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
F95
1 - 1
WUR
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
HAN
1 - 0
F95
68%
20%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
F95
1 - 3
STP
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SGD
1 - 1
F95
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
ERZ
1 - 0
KAI
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
STU
3 - 0
ERZ
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ERZ
3 - 1
WUR
44%
29%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
ERZ
2 - 2
HAN
15%
23%
62%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FCN
2 - 1
ERZ
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |