Bundesliga Round 19

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Bayern München analysis

Fortuna Düsseldorf Bayern München
78 ELO 88
21.6% Tilt 14.2%
161º General ELO ranking
20º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.1%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.8%
Draw
46.2%
Bayern München

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.2%
Win probability
Bayern München
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Düsseldorf
-7%
-2%
Bayern München

ELO progression

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Bayern München
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 1983
BOC
VfL Bochum
3 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
52%
24%
24%
78 81 3 0
11 Dec. 1982
EIN
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 - 2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
67%
18%
15%
78 82 4 0
04 Dec. 1982
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
55%
22%
23%
78 80 2 0
27 Nov. 1982
LEV
B. Leverkusen
3 - 3
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
39%
27%
34%
78 72 6 0
20 Nov. 1982
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4 - 3
Karlsruher SC
KSC
61%
21%
19%
77 75 2 +1

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 1983
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
70%
17%
13%
88 84 4 0
11 Dec. 1982
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 0
Nürnberg
FCN
79%
13%
8%
88 79 9 0
05 Dec. 1982
S04
Schalke 04
1 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
27%
24%
49%
88 78 10 0
27 Nov. 1982
BYM
Bayern München
3 - 0
B. Dortmund
BVB
71%
17%
12%
88 84 4 0
20 Nov. 1982
KAI
Kaiserslautern
3 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
47%
23%
30%
88 86 2 0