Regionalliga Western Round 27

Fortuna Düsseldorf II vs Mainz 05 II analysis

Fortuna Düsseldorf II Mainz 05 II
39 ELO 48
-2% Tilt 7.2%
3744º General ELO ranking 3325º
165º Country ELO ranking 147º
ELO win probability
32.9%
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
26.3%
Draw
40.8%
Mainz 05 II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.8%
Win probability
Mainz 05 II
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
+58%
+18%
Mainz 05 II

ELO progression

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
Mainz 05 II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Düsseldorf II
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Apr. 2011
BOR
B. Mönchengladbach II
1 - 1
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
FOR
73%
16%
10%
40 54 14 0
19 Mar. 2011
FOR
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
2 - 2
B. Dortmund II
BOR
18%
21%
61%
40 51 11 0
12 Mar. 2011
FOR
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1 - 1
SV Elversberg
ELV
23%
26%
51%
39 52 13 +1
05 Mar. 2011
ABI
Arminia Bielefeld II
1 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
FOR
36%
25%
39%
40 37 3 -1
01 Mar. 2011
WUP
Wuppertaler SV
2 - 2
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
FOR
70%
18%
12%
40 52 12 0

Matches

Mainz 05 II
Mainz 05 II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Apr. 2011
MAI
Mainz 05 II
1 - 2
B. Dortmund II
BOR
31%
24%
45%
47 50 3 0
19 Mar. 2011
ABI
Arminia Bielefeld II
0 - 4
Mainz 05 II
MAI
31%
26%
43%
46 39 7 +1
14 Mar. 2011
MAI
Mainz 05 II
0 - 2
Eintracht Trier
EIN
41%
26%
34%
48 49 1 -2
05 Mar. 2011
PRE
Preußen Münster
2 - 1
Mainz 05 II
MAI
61%
23%
16%
48 56 8 0
26 Feb. 2011
MAI
Mainz 05 II
1 - 2
Wuppertaler SV
WUP
39%
26%
35%
49 51 2 -1