Fortaleza vs Uniautónoma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2011 |
HUI
1 - 0
FOR
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 2
FOR
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
FOR
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
COR
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAR
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Uniautónoma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
4 - 1
UNI
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
UNI
26%
24%
51%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
PAS
1 - 0
UNI
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
BUC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
UNI
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |