Fortaleza vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
ACA
1 - 0
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
TFC
47%
28%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
BOG
2 - 0
FOR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
COR
3 - 2
FOR
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
TFC
2 - 1
FOR
49%
24%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
PER
2 - 0
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 2
PER
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PER
1 - 3
JUN
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
PER
59%
24%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
PER
3 - 1
SFC
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |