Fortaleza vs Centauros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AGU
6 - 1
FOR
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
BAR
4 - 0
FOR
41%
27%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 4
RSC
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 1
ALI
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BUC
3 - 2
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Centauros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 1
PAS
29%
28%
44%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 1
CEN
45%
27%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 2
ACA
54%
24%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 0
AGU
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
RSC
1 - 4
CEN
35%
29%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |