Fortaleza vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
FOR
23%
28%
49%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
FOR
47%
26%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
TFC
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LLA
2 - 1
FOR
32%
29%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
BOG
4 - 2
CAR
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 1
LLA
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 1
EQU
22%
25%
52%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 1
BOG
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
TFC
2 - 2
BOG
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |