Fortaleza vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 2
BOG
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
AME
3 - 1
FOR
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
UNI
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 4
FOR
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
REA
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
BAR
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 1
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 2
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 3
CAR
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |