Fortaleza EC vs Atlético Cearense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.6%
3.2%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
CAU
0 - 1
FOR
3%
8%
89%
|
77 | 31 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 0
FOR
26%
25%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAH
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
FLU
0 - 0
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAU
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
UNI
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 2
GUA
47%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
PAC
2 - 1
UNI
22%
23%
56%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |