Fortaleza EC vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
AMF
2 - 1
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 0
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAO
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
FOR
42%
27%
32%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 0
INS
66%
22%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 2
SLO
34%
30%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 0
DYJ
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
PAL
0 - 0
SLO
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 0
SLO
49%
26%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |