Fortaleza EC vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
COR
3 - 0
FOR
71%
19%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 4
ATP
32%
25%
44%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
FOR
2 - 2
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 2
SCI
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
PAY
2 - 1
COT
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
5 - 3
PAY
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
PAY
3 - 1
FFL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SAO
4 - 1
PAY
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
GOI
4 - 1
PAY
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |