Fortaleza EC vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 1
FOR
11%
19%
70%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
FOR
7%
17%
76%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 1
BAR
85%
11%
4%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 0
FOR
27%
24%
49%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
CSA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
BAR
62%
20%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
FLO
2 - 1
FER
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
FER
2 - 2
COR
12%
21%
68%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FER
4 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
BAR
59%
21%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |