Fortaleza EC vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
AGU
1 - 1
FOR
45%
27%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 1
RIO
49%
23%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
SAO
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
PAY
1 - 1
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
CON
76%
15%
10%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CRB
1 - 0
ABC
24%
26%
51%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ABC
2 - 1
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ABC
0 - 0
CAM
68%
19%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ALE
1 - 1
ABC
17%
24%
59%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ABC
3 - 1
SAL
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |