Fort William vs Rothes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7%
2.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fort William
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
LOS
19%
20%
62%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 6
KEI
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
6 - 1
FOR
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 50 | 35 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
BUC
6 - 2
FOR
88%
9%
4%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DEV
4 - 1
FOR
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
DEV
3 - 0
ROT
90%
8%
3%
|
7 | 29 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
INV
6 - 0
ROT
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 8
FOR
6%
12%
82%
|
9 | 50 | 41 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NAI
2 - 1
ROT
90%
7%
2%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 7
CLA
9%
13%
78%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | -1 |