Fort William vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fort William
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
HUN
8%
14%
77%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 5
BRO
10%
18%
72%
|
7 | 55 | 48 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 6
COV
8%
15%
77%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DEV
2 - 0
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 6
FRA
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 48 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
KEI
2 - 3
FRA
16%
21%
63%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
BUC
5 - 0
KEI
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
STR
0 - 1
KEI
11%
16%
73%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
KEI
4 - 1
COV
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | +6 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
KEI
0 - 3
BRO
12%
20%
69%
|
21 | 55 | 34 | 0 |