Fort Wayne vs Flint City Bucks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
82.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fort Wayne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
KAL
1 - 1
FWA
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
FWA
1 - 1
GRF
26%
21%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
TVF
1 - 3
FWA
45%
21%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
FWA
1 - 3
SBL
28%
21%
51%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MIC
3 - 0
FWA
88%
9%
3%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Flint City Bucks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
KAL
1 - 0
MIC
7%
13%
80%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MIC
1 - 2
KHA
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
GRF
1 - 1
MIC
8%
14%
78%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MIC
3 - 0
FWA
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MIC
1 - 0
DAY
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 24 | 29 | 0 |