Highland Football League Scotland Round 11

Forres Mechanics vs Rothes analysis

Forres Mechanics Rothes
34 ELO 39
5.2% Tilt 10.5%
8088º General ELO ranking 11917º
78º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
25.8%
Forres Mechanics
21.6%
Draw
52.5%
Rothes

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
Forres Mechanics
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.5%
Win probability
Rothes
2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Forres Mechanics
+20%
-46%
Rothes

Points and table prediction

Forres Mechanics
Their league position
Rothes
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
11º
11º
44
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Buckie Thistle
87
90
78.5%
Brechin City
86
86
78.5%
Brora Rangers
77
80
100%
Formartine United
71
74
94.5%
Fraserburgh
68
71
94.5%
Banks O' Dee
10º
36
63
100%
Inverurie Loco Works
50
50
100%
Nairn County
43
46
54.5%
Huntly
45
45
59.5%
Rothes
44
44
10º
67.5%
Forres Mechanics
11º
36
36
11º
48.5%
Clachnacuddin
12º
34
35
12º
18.5%
Turriff United
13º
33
34
13º
67.5%
Lossiemouth
15º
26
27
14º
25%
Keith
14º
27
27
15º
58.5%
Wick Academy
16º
25
26
16º
42%
Deveronvale
17º
24
24
17º
80.5%
Strathspey Thistle
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Forres Mechanics
Rothes
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Forres Mechanics
Rothes
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Forres Mechanics
Forres Mechanics
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2022
BAN
Banks O' Dee
2 - 0
Forres Mechanics
FOR
75%
15%
10%
33 46 13 0
17 Sep. 2022
FOR
Forres Mechanics
2 - 3
Glasgow University
GLA
80%
13%
7%
33 9 24 0
03 Sep. 2022
TUR
Turriff United
2 - 0
Forres Mechanics
FOR
21%
20%
60%
35 24 11 -2
27 Aug. 2022
FOR
Forres Mechanics
1 - 2
Keith
KEI
76%
15%
10%
36 23 13 -1
20 Aug. 2022
FOR
Forres Mechanics
3 - 0
Huntly
HUN
60%
20%
20%
35 29 6 +1

Matches

Rothes
Rothes
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2022
WIC
Wick Academy
1 - 1
Rothes
ROT
21%
21%
58%
40 29 11 0
17 Sep. 2022
CPF
Carnoustie Panmure
3 - 1
Rothes
ROT
8%
12%
80%
43 16 27 -3
03 Sep. 2022
CLA
Clachnacuddin
4 - 1
Rothes
ROT
9%
15%
76%
46 21 25 -3
27 Aug. 2022
ROT
Rothes
6 - 1
Turriff United
TUR
85%
10%
5%
46 24 22 0
24 Aug. 2022
KEI
Keith
2 - 3
Rothes
ROT
12%
17%
72%
45 24 21 +1