Forres Mechanics vs Rothes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
57%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
HUN
2 - 5
FOR
26%
21%
53%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
INV
2 - 2
FOR
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 2
DEV
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
BUC
3 - 1
FOR
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
KEI
64%
18%
17%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 2
ROT
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
LOS
0 - 1
ROT
9%
16%
75%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 1
DAL
78%
14%
9%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DAL
0 - 0
ROT
12%
18%
71%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ROT
3 - 0
DEV
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |