Highland Football League Scotland Round 11

Forres Mechanics vs Keith analysis

Forres Mechanics Keith
39 ELO 31
1.5% Tilt 16.5%
8055º General ELO ranking 9316º
80º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
64.3%
Forres Mechanics
18.4%
Draw
17.3%
Keith

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
Forres Mechanics
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.3%
Win probability
Keith
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Forres Mechanics
+14%
-25%
Keith

ELO progression

Forres Mechanics
Keith
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Forres Mechanics
Forres Mechanics
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2021
BRE
Brechin City
4 - 1
Forres Mechanics
FOR
47%
23%
30%
41 41 0 0
18 Sep. 2021
FOR
Forres Mechanics
0 - 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
BRA
16%
17%
67%
43 55 12 -2
11 Sep. 2021
FOR
Forres Mechanics
1 - 1
Turriff United
TUR
86%
10%
5%
43 18 25 0
04 Sep. 2021
NAI
Nairn County
2 - 2
Forres Mechanics
FOR
31%
23%
46%
43 38 5 0
28 Aug. 2021
FOR
Forres Mechanics
1 - 0
Lossiemouth
LOS
85%
10%
5%
43 20 23 0

Matches

Keith
Keith
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2021
KEI
Keith
3 - 0
Turriff United
TUR
82%
11%
7%
31 18 13 0
18 Sep. 2021
KEI
Keith
1 - 2
Darvel
DFC
71%
16%
13%
31 21 10 0
11 Sep. 2021
LOS
Lossiemouth
2 - 0
Keith
KEI
17%
19%
64%
34 20 14 -3
04 Sep. 2021
KEI
Keith
0 - 3
Clachnacuddin
CLA
82%
11%
7%
34 20 14 0
28 Aug. 2021
STR
Strathspey Thistle
0 - 2
Keith
KEI
16%
18%
66%
34 21 13 0