Forres Mechanics vs Deveronvale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
19.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CLA
1 - 0
FOR
25%
22%
54%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 3
FOR
20%
20%
61%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +3 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
STR
0 - 3
FOR
10%
16%
74%
|
40 | 11 | 29 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HUN
1 - 2
FOR
16%
19%
65%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
FOR
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deveronvale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HUN
2 - 3
DEV
20%
20%
61%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
DEV
0 - 6
COV
24%
23%
54%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
DEV
1 - 7
NAI
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DEV
1 - 2
TUR
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DEV
3 - 1
ROT
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |