Formosa vs Sobradinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 2
FOR
31%
24%
44%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
UNA
1 - 2
FOR
15%
19%
66%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 3
SAN
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CEI
3 - 2
FOR
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
CEI
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sobradinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SOB
5 - 1
LEG
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SOB
0 - 1
BRA
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
CEI
0 - 4
SOB
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SOB
1 - 2
BRA
31%
23%
46%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GAM
1 - 0
SOB
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |