Formosa vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 0
GAM
14%
19%
67%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
DOM
2 - 1
FOR
60%
21%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
16%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CEI
0 - 0
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
BRA
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LUZ
1 - 3
CEI
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 1
ABC
25%
26%
50%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CEI
3 - 0
7DE
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CEI
0 - 1
DOM
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
7DE
1 - 1
CEI
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |