Formosa vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
35.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SOB
0 - 1
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LUZ
1 - 0
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GAM
1 - 2
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
LEG
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 2
SOB
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CEI
3 - 0
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CEI
1 - 3
CAP
70%
19%
12%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SOB
2 - 2
CEI
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CEI
0 - 0
BRA
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CEI
1 - 0
GAM
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |