Formiga EC vs EC Itauna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formiga EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
FEC
1 - 0
PDC
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
TOM
2 - 0
FEC
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FEC
0 - 1
TOM
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
PDC
2 - 2
FEC
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 1
FEC
41%
26%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
EC Itauna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
ECI
3 - 1
TRI
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
PDC
3 - 0
ECI
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 0
PDC
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 0
ECI
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 1
FEC
41%
26%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |