Formartine United vs Fraserburgh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
7 - 2
BAN
68%
17%
15%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 2
FOR
23%
21%
56%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 4
BRO
43%
22%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
LOS
1 - 3
FOR
8%
16%
76%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
INV
1 - 2
FOR
26%
22%
52%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 3
KEI
82%
12%
6%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
TUR
1 - 0
FRA
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
BUC
1 - 1
FRA
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
WIC
0 - 1
FRA
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 0
DEV
87%
10%
4%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |