Formartine United vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 8
FOR
3%
9%
88%
|
50 | 5 | 45 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 2
WIC
83%
11%
6%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
INV
0 - 1
FOR
30%
21%
49%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
INV
2 - 4
FOR
40%
23%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
DEV
1 - 4
FOR
9%
15%
77%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 0
WIC
61%
20%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
DEV
0 - 5
FOR
16%
20%
65%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 1
NAI
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
LOS
1 - 5
FOR
6%
12%
82%
|
43 | 12 | 31 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 2
BRO
34%
23%
44%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |