Forli vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 1
FOR
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
ABN
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
PAD
2 - 0
FOR
75%
17%
8%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 2
POR
17%
24%
60%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VNZ
1 - 0
FOR
71%
18%
12%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 0
FAN
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
ASG
1 - 3
SSS
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SSS
1 - 3
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 2
SSS
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
SSS
2 - 1
VIT
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |