Forli vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+147%
+59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
USV
3 - 2
FOR
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 0
CIV
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 2
RIM
17%
25%
58%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
TER
1 - 2
FOR
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 0
MIG
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
SSS
0 - 0
CIV
65%
22%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
SSS
1 - 0
RIM
20%
26%
54%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
TER
4 - 3
SSS
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
SSS
1 - 0
MIG
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
RCA
2 - 1
SSS
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |