Forli vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
42.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PER
0 - 0
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
DEL
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ASS
3 - 0
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
RIM
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ASD
3 - 5
FOR
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
BV5
2 - 1
SAN
46%
27%
28%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
ASS
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 2
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
ASD
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 3
SAN
29%
28%
43%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |