Forli vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
VFC
0 - 2
FOR
15%
22%
64%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
USD
69%
19%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 3
FOR
33%
28%
40%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +3 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 3
ACS
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 0
FOR
28%
28%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 3
CAS
49%
22%
30%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 0
MEZ
63%
22%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 1
PIA
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
COR
1 - 2
MEZ
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MEZ
1 - 3
RIM
10%
20%
70%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -2 |