Lega 2 A Playoffs Girone A Final
Global 4-4
Forli vs Delta Porto Tolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
DEL
3 - 2
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 0
SAS
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
SAS
1 - 0
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
PER
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DEL
1 - 2
FOR
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
DEL
3 - 2
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
DEL
0 - 1
CUN
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CUN
1 - 2
DEL
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
USA
1 - 3
DEL
56%
24%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DEL
1 - 2
FOR
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |