Forli vs AS Sestese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 4
FOR
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOR
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
CER
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
BFM
75%
17%
8%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
AS Sestese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 1
ROS
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 1
ASS
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ASS
3 - 2
MEZ
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BAG
1 - 0
ASS
54%
23%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 3
MON
64%
21%
16%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |