Second Division Round 20

Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer analysis

Forfar Athletic Stranraer
53 ELO 49
18.2% Tilt 10.5%
4863º General ELO ranking 5070º
58º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
64.7%
Forfar Athletic
20.3%
Draw
15.1%
Stranraer

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
Forfar Athletic
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.1%
Win probability
Stranraer
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Forfar Athletic
+5%
-13%
Stranraer

ELO progression

Forfar Athletic
Stranraer
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Forfar Athletic
Forfar Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 1998
EAS
East Fife
1 - 0
Forfar Athletic
FOR
42%
25%
33%
54 45 9 0
03 Jan. 1998
FOR
Forfar Athletic
1 - 2
Albion Rovers
ALB
71%
16%
13%
54 49 5 0
27 Dec. 1997
FOR
Forfar Athletic
5 - 0
Brechin City
BRE
70%
19%
12%
54 47 7 0
20 Dec. 1997
ICT
Inverness CT
2 - 2
Forfar Athletic
FOR
54%
24%
22%
53 56 3 +1
13 Dec. 1997
FOR
Forfar Athletic
2 - 2
Livingston
LIV
49%
25%
25%
53 58 5 0

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 1998
STR
Stranraer
2 - 3
East Fife
EAS
60%
23%
17%
50 46 4 0
13 Jan. 1998
CLY
Clyde
0 - 1
Stranraer
STR
62%
22%
16%
49 54 5 +1
06 Jan. 1998
STR
Stranraer
2 - 1
Fraserburgh
FRA
55%
21%
24%
48 51 3 +1
27 Dec. 1997
STR
Stranraer
3 - 4
Queen of the South
QOS
39%
26%
35%
49 53 4 -1
20 Dec. 1997
STR
Stranraer
0 - 1
Clydebank
CLY
44%
27%
29%
49 54 5 0