Forfar Athletic vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
QUE
4 - 1
FOR
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
WAH
74%
16%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
ALL
2 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 6
DUN
34%
26%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
BLA
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
5 - 2
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
HAM
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
4 - 0
TRA
54%
20%
26%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
QOS
3 - 1
HAM
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
HAM
4 - 0
LAR
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | 0 |