Forfar Athletic vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 0
STE
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 0
STR
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
DUM
3 - 0
FOR
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
FOR
56%
24%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 1
BER
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2008 |
DAL
2 - 4
FOR
71%
16%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 2
DAL
27%
24%
50%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
KEI
1 - 1
FOR
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 1
KEI
70%
17%
12%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 0
WIG
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | 0 |