Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 4
ARB
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 2
STI
59%
20%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
CWB
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
STE
2 - 3
FOR
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 4
ABE
21%
23%
56%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
STE
1 - 2
DUM
49%
24%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 3
DUM
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
DUM
1 - 0
BRE
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
DUM
3 - 2
ARB
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ALB
3 - 1
DUM
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |