Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BRE
2 - 0
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
FOR
3 - 1
ALL
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
FOR
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
ROS
5 - 2
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
FOR
0 - 1
STR
45%
25%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
AYR
0 - 1
DUM
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
DUM
1 - 3
ARB
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
BRE
4 - 0
DUM
50%
24%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
DUM
1 - 1
STI
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
ALL
3 - 2
DUM
43%
25%
31%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |