FA Cup . 1/128
Global 0-3
Forest Green Rovers vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
46.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 1
MOR
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
OXF
0 - 0
FOR
54%
22%
25%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 3
ARS
50%
22%
28%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 1
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
EXE
1 - 2
FOR
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
OXF
1 - 0
GIL
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
OXF
0 - 0
FOR
54%
22%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
WYC
0 - 3
OXF
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
SCU
3 - 3
OXF
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
OXF
3 - 0
STF
42%
27%
32%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |