Förde vs Sogndal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
74.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Förde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BJA
3 - 4
FOR
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 0
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
ELV
16%
17%
67%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BRU
2 - 1
FOR
41%
22%
38%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
6 - 0
SOF
62%
18%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sogndal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SOG
3 - 1
MJO
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
VIF
1 - 1
SOG
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 2
BBS
11%
16%
74%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RAU
1 - 5
SOG
50%
22%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HOD
2 - 0
SOG
32%
24%
44%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |