US Forcoli 1921 vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
66.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
17.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAS
19%
24%
58%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ASL
1 - 0
FOR
78%
15%
6%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
ROS
49%
26%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
FOR
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 2
ASL
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 3
SPA
16%
24%
61%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 0
ROS
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 1
MEZ
67%
21%
13%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
SPA
16%
23%
62%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | -1 |