US Forcoli 1921 vs AC Este analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SCA
1 - 1
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
RAV
15%
23%
63%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | +4 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 1
FOR
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
VIR
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 0
FOR
24%
24%
52%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
ACE
1 - 2
SAN
58%
22%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 3
ACE
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACE
3 - 0
CER
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ACE
2 - 1
TUT
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SCA
0 - 3
ACE
30%
26%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |