Forchtenstein vs Purbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
JEN
2 - 1
FOR
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
DEU
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
3 - 2
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
PIN
38%
22%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
EBE
6 - 1
FOR
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
PUR
2 - 0
HOR
46%
24%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
STM
2 - 4
PUR
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
PUR
0 - 1
OBE
29%
26%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
DRA
2 - 5
PUR
49%
23%
29%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PUR
5 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
26%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +2 |