National 3 Pays de la Loire Round 25

Fontenay vs USSA Vertou analysis

Fontenay USSA Vertou
36 ELO 42
-12% Tilt -18.2%
5441º General ELO ranking 5891º
140º Country ELO ranking 153º
ELO win probability
35%
Fontenay
24.7%
Draw
40.3%
USSA Vertou

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
Fontenay
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.3%
Win probability
USSA Vertou
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fontenay
-23%
-29%
USSA Vertou

Points and table prediction

Fontenay
Their league position
USSA Vertou
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
46
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
La Roche Vendée
48
51
100%
USSA Vertou
46
49
91.5%
Challans
44
47
91.5%
Sablé
42
42
100%
Stade Lavallois II
38
41
100%
Saint-Nazaire AF
37
40
57.5%
36
39
56.5%
Fontenay
37
37
70.5%
Le Mans II
30
30
79.5%
ESOFV La Roche
10º
28
28
10º
0%
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
11º
28
28
11º
13%
Beaucouzé
12º
27
27
12º
62.5%
Pouzauges-Réaumur
13º
19
22
13º
75.5%
Change
14º
16
16
14º
75.5%
Expected probabilities
Fontenay
USSA Vertou
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fontenay
USSA Vertou
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fontenay
Fontenay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2023
ACP
Pouzauges-Réaumur
2 - 4
Fontenay
FON
25%
23%
53%
37 25 12 0
22 Apr. 2023
FON
Fontenay
1 - 1
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
SPG
61%
20%
20%
37 29 8 0
15 Apr. 2023
SAB
Sablé
0 - 0
Fontenay
FON
51%
23%
26%
38 37 1 -1
01 Apr. 2023
FON
Fontenay
1 - 2
ESOFV La Roche
ESO
39%
26%
35%
39 40 1 -1
25 Mar. 2023
LRO
La Roche Vendée
1 - 1
Fontenay
FON
50%
26%
24%
39 40 1 0

Matches

USSA Vertou
USSA Vertou
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2023
SPG
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
1 - 3
USSA Vertou
USS
23%
21%
56%
40 29 11 0
22 Apr. 2023
USS
USSA Vertou
7 - 0
ESOFV La Roche
ESO
44%
25%
32%
39 40 1 +1
15 Apr. 2023
LAV
Stade Lavallois II
2 - 2
USSA Vertou
USS
47%
26%
27%
39 40 1 0
01 Apr. 2023
USS
USSA Vertou
4 - 0
Change
CHA
72%
17%
12%
39 27 12 0
25 Mar. 2023
LEM
Le Mans II
2 - 3
USSA Vertou
USS
31%
23%
46%
38 30 8 +1