National 3 Pays de la Loire Round 19

Fontenay vs Stade Lavallois II analysis

Fontenay Stade Lavallois II
39 ELO 39
-12.6% Tilt -18.4%
5416º General ELO ranking 5780º
140º Country ELO ranking 149º
ELO win probability
49.6%
Fontenay
23.9%
Draw
26.4%
Stade Lavallois II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
Fontenay
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.4%
Win probability
Stade Lavallois II
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fontenay
-22%
-16%
Stade Lavallois II

Points and table prediction

Fontenay
Their league position
Stade Lavallois II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
38
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
La Roche Vendée
48
51
100%
USSA Vertou
46
49
91.5%
Challans
44
47
91.5%
Sablé
42
42
100%
Stade Lavallois II
38
41
100%
Saint-Nazaire AF
37
40
57.5%
36
39
56.5%
Fontenay
37
37
70.5%
Le Mans II
30
30
79.5%
ESOFV La Roche
10º
28
28
10º
0%
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
11º
28
28
11º
13%
Beaucouzé
12º
27
27
12º
62.5%
Pouzauges-Réaumur
13º
19
22
13º
75.5%
Change
14º
16
16
14º
75.5%
Expected probabilities
Fontenay
Stade Lavallois II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fontenay
Stade Lavallois II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fontenay
Fontenay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
SNA
Saint-Nazaire AF
0 - 0
Fontenay
FON
36%
24%
40%
39 35 4 0
25 Feb. 2023
FON
Fontenay
1 - 0
Change
CHA
72%
17%
11%
39 25 14 0
11 Feb. 2023
SCB
Beaucouzé
0 - 0
Fontenay
FON
27%
23%
51%
40 30 10 -1
04 Feb. 2023
FON
Fontenay
4 - 1
Le Mans II
LEM
67%
18%
15%
40 30 10 0
28 Jan. 2023
LPS
Le Poiré-sur-Vie
0 - 0
Fontenay
FON
42%
25%
34%
40 37 3 0

Matches

Stade Lavallois II
Stade Lavallois II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
LAV
Stade Lavallois II
4 - 1
Change
CHA
74%
16%
10%
37 25 12 0
25 Feb. 2023
LAV
Stade Lavallois II
2 - 1
Le Mans II
LEM
66%
18%
16%
37 30 7 0
11 Feb. 2023
LPS
Le Poiré-sur-Vie
0 - 2
Stade Lavallois II
LAV
45%
25%
31%
37 35 2 0
04 Feb. 2023
ACP
Pouzauges-Réaumur
2 - 3
Stade Lavallois II
LAV
35%
23%
42%
36 29 7 +1
28 Jan. 2023
LRO
La Roche Vendée
1 - 1
Stade Lavallois II
LAV
62%
21%
18%
36 41 5 0