Fontenay vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
55.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
FON
0 - 1
VIT
51%
22%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
FON
0 - 3
NAN
6%
16%
78%
|
45 | 86 | 41 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
FON
4 - 3
BOI
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
FON
0 - 1
STL
16%
22%
62%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
FON
2 - 2
LYO
1%
15%
84%
|
44 | 89 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
NIO
0 - 1
GUI
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
TOU
1 - 0
NIO
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
NIO
2 - 0
CHA
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
AMI
1 - 0
NIO
41%
27%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 0
NIO
42%
27%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |